GSL Director Comments on Statistical Evidence that Canada is “Flattening the Curve”

Graphic of outbreak curves in Canadian provinces

On April 17, GSL Director Steven Hoffman was quoted in a Global News article discussing the latest statistical evidence that shows first signs that Canada is flattening the COVID-19 curve in all of its provinces.

In the article, Hoffman commented that this development is good news and shows that the social distancing measures are working. He cautioned, however, that this does not show that the outbreak is ending, only that we are succeeding in slowing down the spread. The rate in which cases are doubling, an arbitrary measure according to Hoffman, is different among the provinces. While in Quebec cases double every four days, akin to the global average, B.C and Alberta double every week, and in Newfoundland and Saskatchewan they double every two weeks.

“The scary thing becomes when the curve goes above the system capacity because that’s when doctors have to start making resource allocation decisions, which are probably among the very worst decisions that anyone could ever have to make,” Hoffman said.

Read the full article here.


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